During the May Day holiday, the market’s expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year were fully rekindled. Since April, corporate inventories have dropped significantly, and steel prices have stabilized and rebounded slightly. However, imported ore prices have increased even more, and steel mills still have room to further control production and reduce inventories. The profit performance of steel mills is disappointing. China Iron and Steel Association announced that in the first quarter, the cumulative operating income of key steel companies was 1.49 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.55%; the total profit was 8.708 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 47.91%.
International news, the Russian government decided to cancel export tariffs on thermal coal and anthracite coal from May 1 to August 31, 2024, to support domestic coal industry enterprises; Federal Reserve news, September is the earliest opportunity for the Federal Reserve to open the interest rate cut window, but December A first rate cut in May is almost as likely.
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